Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.260075 0.350590 0.456473 0.587526 0.743398 0.920950 1.136520
2026-01-25 0.143840 0.249385 0.393604 0.595924 0.863207 1.195348 1.629982
2026-02-01 0.072249 0.169036 0.325896 0.574721 0.935908 1.418549 2.088500
2026-02-08 0.040991 0.130689 0.301440 0.601984 1.071611 1.733702 2.691799
2026-02-15 0.020536 0.096052 0.268068 0.604208 1.167057 1.999512 3.248183
2026-02-22 0.012006 0.080922 0.263772 0.651152 1.333294 2.376587 3.980244
2026-03-01 0.006138 0.065379 0.251342 0.678884 1.469124 2.716121 4.676112
2026-03-08 0.002480 0.049826 0.230737 0.684640 1.565933 3.000083 5.303247
2026-03-15 0.000663 0.035634 0.204852 0.671911 1.626164 3.227765 5.854839
2026-03-22 0.000143 0.027609 0.192308 0.684482 1.731533 3.531261 6.531018
2026-03-29 0.000007 0.020462 0.177098 0.686346 1.815109 3.801626 7.164902
2026-04-05 NaN 0.013475 0.154950 0.664274 1.847875 3.986829 7.671296
2026-04-12 NaN 0.008616 0.136509 0.647628 1.891359 4.196112 8.230620
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005935 0.126418 0.651923 1.978625 4.485814 8.929463
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003245 0.108745 0.626959 1.999289 4.657952 9.443687
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002460 0.107258 0.654705 2.139393 5.050864 10.331058
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001480 0.099033 0.656423 2.219809 5.337819 11.051275
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001308 0.103443 0.705842 2.415259 5.844249 12.149604
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000957 0.102595 0.735019 2.564647 6.269802 13.122205
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000541 0.096320 0.741014 2.658568 6.594397 13.932452
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000215 0.086211 0.727496 2.702992 6.826235 14.590675
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000104 0.082557 0.740772 2.815030 7.190949 15.483343
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000033 0.076888 0.742731 2.897891 7.501312 16.288540